Michael Pachter’s Forecast Of The Xbox One X Is… Not Too Bright

The famous analyst predicts how well the Xbox One X will sell.

The game and electronics analyst at Wedbush Securities had an interview with GamingBolt, and his opinion about the console, which launches in November, is negative.

„I think $500 is a lot, and I think we’ve been trained since at least the PlayStation, and probably since before then – I don’t remember what the NES was at launch – that $300 is the price point people are willing to pay.

An Xbox One X costs as much as an Xbox One S and PS4 Slim combined- so if you don’t have an Xbox One yet, any kind, why would you buy a One X instead of a One S, and a PS4 to go with it too? I just don’t get it. I don’t think they are doing themselves any favor at this price point. I know they are selling the appeal of 4K, but let’s be real, probably fewer than 10% of US households have a 4KTV, and certainly way less than that in any other developed country. So who is waiting for this? Next year, maybe around the end of 2017, we’ll probably be closer to 20% US households, and 10% for the rest of the world. And by the end of 2018, we’ll probably be at 35% and 20% respectively, and by 2019, we’ll probably be at 50% and 30%. So yes, it’s a more relevant purchase down the line, but… at $500, if I had only that money in my pocket, and I had to choose between an Xbox One X and a 4KTV, I would buy a 4K TV. So, they’re only appealing to people who have $1100, because they have to buy a TV as well. This is the same problem Oculus faced. I think the Xbox One X will not do well.”

It looks like Microsoft is going to be having a little difficult start in November…

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BadSector is a seasoned journalist for more than twenty years. He communicates in English, Hungarian and French. He worked for several gaming magazines - including the Hungarian GameStar, where he worked 8 years as editor. (For our office address, email and phone number check out our impressum)

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